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Thursday, December 17, 2009

Disciplined Expense Management Can Drive Earnings

The recent news release from Best Buy (December 15, 2009), of their improved Earnings per Share over last year further confirms the wisdom of not only focused expense management, but also of the advantages of focusing on non-core expenses.

Bob Willett, CEO of Best Buy International, noted that "[their] diligent focus on expense management this year" helped improve overall profitability. It was noted that Selling, General & Administrative (S,G&A) expenses decreased from 22.5% of revenue to 21.3% of revenue. This has a direct impact on the bottom line as well as on cash flow. Even with only a 5% decrease of non-production costs, the impact is both real and noticeable.

While the focus of any company should be on increasing sales, sound expense management practices are always essential. Non-core areas, although smaller than core areas, can nevertheless impact the bottom line. Ignoring non-core areas ultimately leads to inflated expenses and lower profits.

At least Best Buy has it worked out.

Thursday, December 3, 2009

Will 2010 be a Better Year?

Yesterday, the United Nations came out with a positive forecast for the global economy for 2010. The primary drive will be from Asia. The U.S. is also expected to see modest economic growth.

Nevertheless, the U.N. cautioned the growth will be 'fragile' and could fail if stimulus spending stops and if the U.S. deficit and external debt continues to climb. Such a crisis could cause global instability.

No word yet on how continued stimulus spending will not lead to a (at least temporary) increase in both the U.S. deficit and external debt.

There is a lot of talk about a looming 'double dip recession' (also mentioned in the U.N. report). There is also a lot of talk about the likehood of 'modest growth' and a 'fragile economy'. I think it's more a case of both cautious optimism and having it both ways. If the economy grows, it was predicted. If it fails, it was mentioned as a realistic possibility.

On that note, I'm not going to be any different. I think 2010 will be better although how much of this is based upon wishful thinking I can't say. Suffice it to say that everyone appears to be in general agreement that we still have a long way to go.

What this means for businesses is simple: stay focused. Don't lose sight of sound cost management practices. Put them in place now (if you haven't already done so).

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Lack of Capital Still a Problem for Small Businesses

The recent news that commercial lending giant CIT Corp. is filing for bankruptcy can't be good for small and mid-sized businesses that rely on easy and cost-effective access to credit in order to survive.

Although experts are indicating that the short-term impact for retailers will be modest, there is less certainty about the impact by spring. John Holub, president of the New Jersey Retail Merchants Association indicated that the economy might turn around by this time, leading to alternative financing opportunities.

What if he's wrong? Banking (no pun intended) on a stronger economy is not a great strategy. Companies should always have contingencies for the worst economic times. Anyone can manage in a good economy. Surviving in a tough economy takes preparation and foresight, two key elements of effective management.

What strategies are companies putting in place to keep costs down and to maximize productivity? These should be the areas of focus. There is never a time when good expense management is unimportant, but there are times when it is paramount. Now is such a time.

Monday, September 14, 2009

Ignoring the Lessons of the Past

On the anniversary of the collapse of Lehman Brothers, President Obama urged Wall Street to learn 'the lessons of Lehman' and not repeat the same mistakes.

There are many who are suggesting that Wall Street has not learned the lessons of Lehman, opting instead to fight any new regulations that might impede lending, borrowing, investing or any other business the banks are involved in.

What lessons should have been learned? What lessons have been learned?

Large banks CAN and Do fail.
Re-packaging junk and calling it AAA doesn't change reality.
Being highly leveraged in high-risk securities is dangerous.
Investing in complex derivatives that you don't understand is downright foolish.


However, what has probably been learned is this: if Big Banks get into trouble, the government will bail them out.

Without the bailouts, the crisis would have been massive. With the bailouts, the lesson is not learned.

Caught between a rock and a hard place.

Friday, September 4, 2009

U.S. Debt Approaching $12 Trillion

I had to post this link to the new Calculator developed that has 16 digits...in order to show the U.S. debt which was $11,792,918,170,836.43 on Sept 1st.

this is a sobering thought in light of the rosy economic predictions coming out of Washington. Layoffs have continued, although at a slower rate but there are some signs that a recovery is beginning.

The stimulus package has had a positive impact and this will likely lead to improvements next year. Vehicle sales were positively impacted by the 'Cash for Clunkers' program and total vehicle sales will likely be higher next year. However, recovery is not going to happen overnight.

Still, in case some of you are thinking that everything is fine again, take a look at the debt. You may have to purchase the new calculator as most calculators are unable to display the number.

Wednesday, July 15, 2009

Chrysler Pays of $1.5 Billion TARP Loan

GMAC Financial Services, formerly Chrysler Financial, has paid off its TARP loan of $1.5 billion.

Chrysler used the loan to provide up to 85,000 consumer loans and said it was paying back the TARP loan in order to avoid higher costs.

This is a step in the right direction as Chrysler is sending a message to the general public that it is on the road to recovery. It is also demonstrating priority in keeping costs down while trying to ensure it does not lose momentum.

Timing is important and Chrysler is setting the right tone by moving quickly. meanwhile, GM is also out of bankruptcy and actually beat Chrysler in terms of time spent re-structuring (40 days vs. 42 days). Speed is critical as delays will only serve to negatively impact public perception.

What is emerging are leaner and more efficient automakers. The question will be whether both automakers can produce cars that consumers want and whether or not they can survive in this highly competitive market.

So far, both have surprised analysts with their speed in restructuring. Let's hope this is a sign of things to come.

Monday, June 15, 2009

Chrysler Group

Chrysler Group has emerged from bankruptcy protection as the "New Chrysler" with FIAT owning a 20% stake (with an option to increase to 35% and later 51% if certain financial and operational targets are met).

At the helm is CEO of FIAT, Sergio Marchionne, a dual Italian and Canadian citizen.

The future for Chrysler was bleak to say the least, but this is a good start considering Marchionne helped turn around FIAT. In 2004 FIAT was losing money but under Marchionne began turning a profit in 2005 and has since grown in profitability and revenue. Additionally, while other automakers were shedding jobs, FIAT increased total employees by over 20% from 2004 to 2008.

What's interesting is that Marchionne, prior to FIAT, had no automotive experience. However, he has worked as a chartered accountant and as a tax specialist and has a strong financial background, all traits that helped him improve the Financial performance of FIAT.

Marchionne believes in accountability of management and looks for new talent. Perhaps this different approach, that is, a willingness to clean out myopic management, make the necessary changes and introduce new ideas will be the ingredients that will enable Chrysler Group to succeed.